The Apple tablet is said to be announced in January 2010 and I believe Apple will be shaking a few industries in one fell swoop. In this post I make a few predictions about the tablet as well as analyze what Apple does well and what they should do.
Update: the LA Times has an article on how the stock performed:
Apple stock soars to all-time high
Amid speculation about a forthcoming tablet computer, the company’s shares have risen 145% this year.
Apple tablet characteristics
- It’s going to be a general-purpose multi-tasking computer
- I think the Apple tablet also support gesture-recognition through the webcam from a distance. You’ll be able to flip pages through just a gesture at a distance, without touching the tablet. There will be other gestures supported
- There could be some switchable voice recognition and command functions on it too.
Industries which will be shaken up or disrupted by Apple’s tablet
- The Music-making industry
For the argumentation, see my post in 2007 on how Apple will revolutionize music-making which I wrote before the release of the iPhone.
The whole experience of how you make music within a sequencer with virtual instruments is about to be revolutionized by Apple with a forthcoming combination of multi-touch hardware and software based on Logic and running on at least Leopard. The very act of recording, manipulating and producing music on a computer will become an organic performance in itself.
And here is what some people have been doing in the meantime, demonstrated by Jordan Rudess of Dream Theater:
One thing Apple needs to do here is make the software detect how much pressure or indirectly, pseudo-pressure.
2. The traditional publishing industry
Single purpose devices like the Nook, the Kindle will disappear, and people will rather use a fuller computing device like the Apple tablet to read the press, mostly on the web or in other digital formats like Flash and PDF.
Apple has pitched the publishing industry to move their content online and through their distribution channel so they can be accessed and read on the tablet.
The split is advantageous to publishers as compared to the amazon Kindle terms, with Apple taking 30% whereas Amazon takes 30% if it is exclusive, and 50% if not.
3. The Cable/Television industry
TechCrunch has a good article on it.
Apple’s strengths here will be:
- the very high-resolution screen and general great screen quality
- the excellent movie distribution channel and store through the Apple Store/iTunes combination, but that would necessitate wireless access for it to work anywhere
4. The Mobile computing industry
It remains to be seen how good a tablet is for computing on the go, as posture and ergonomics will be different form having a laptop with a keyboard and a separate screen. But the tablet will still be a fantastic portable computing device.
I am still wondering whether the device will be iPhone O.S. based or built with Snow Leopard. The latter appears primed for use on a tablet, with an adjustable on-screen keyboard. As the more powerful O.S., Apple would do well to use Snow Leopard in the tablet.
If the tablet uses the iPhone O.S., Apple would win points for making it multi-task out-of-the-box. In addition, Apple would leverage the existing Apple App Store infrastructure.
What Apple has and has done well
- The Apple Store
- iTunes
- The distribution through the Apple Store, the App Store and iTunes
- The Design of it all, making the user experience beautiful
- Genius recommendations for music – this can easily be transposed for Movies and Books
- Acquisition of Lala, so that content can be streamed easily from the cloud
What Apple has going against it
- Does not play well with more readily available formats and codecs, including open-source ones
- DRM, with machine authorizations
Machines get obsolete or die and have to be replaced, so why should you be limited to 5 machines where the content you paid for is stored and not be able to easily get all the content you purchased in a new machine? What if my old machines all died?
- Does not allow sending gifts from one country to another user
The next decade will pitch Apple against Google on some fronts.

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